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2024-12-14 06:03:36

Chief Cabinet Secretary of Japan: Short-term data show that enterprises have a strong willingness to invest.Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.The main contract of the container transport index (European line) rose by 150.2 points in the day, and now it is reported at 2567.8 points, an increase of 6.21%.


Guojin Securities: The warm wind of medical policy comes first, then the progress of innovation going out to sea, and then the opportunity of performance reversal. Guojin Securities Research Report said that the core investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical sector in 25 years will revolve around three logics: 1) innovation going out to sea; 2) demand recovery; 3) Policy expectation reversal. At present, the policy warm wind comes first (the medical track policy continues to warm up, and the overall industry expectation is expected to be optimistic); Then, R&D and innovation will go to sea (innovative drug track will continue to make progress, and it will still be the hottest track in the pharmaceutical sector in 2025, especially it is recommended to pay attention to the clinical data reading and commercialization progress of the first-line target, as well as the fluctuation opportunity of the expected difference of the second-line innovative drugs), and then the performance growth rate is expected to bottom out in the first half of 2025 (but it will take time for this improvement in performance growth rate to come. Considering the current industry communication and historical base, it is expected that 4Q24 and 1Q25 should still be cautiously optimistic.)Zijiang Enterprise set up a packaging company in Hubei with 20 million yuan. According to the enterprise search APP, Hubei Zijiang Packaging Co., Ltd. was recently established, with Shao Chunjiang as the legal representative and a registered capital of 20 million yuan. Its business scope includes: the production of plastic packaging containers and tools for food; Sales of plastic packaging containers, tools and products for food. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is wholly owned by Zijiang Enterprise.Treasury bond futures opened, with 30-year main contracts rising by 0.48%, 10-year main contracts rising by 0.36%, 5-year main contracts rising by 0.25% and 2-year main contracts rising by 0.05%.


Shanghai Securities: The pharmaceutical and bio-industry is expected to further repair its performance and valuation. The Shanghai Securities Research Report pointed out that with the support of policies and the adjustment of the internal structure of the industry, the pharmaceutical and bio-industry is expected to further repair its performance and valuation. It is suggested to pay attention to five directions: 1) Innovative drugs (with strong national policy support, the payment terminal is expected to further improve and go to sea to occupy the global market); 2)CXO (the negative impact of the biosafety bill event has been eliminated, and the demand for orders in the superimposed interest rate reduction cycle has increased, which is expected to usher in a double repair of performance and valuation); 3) Imitation and innovation (centralized procurement is expected to clear up, increase innovation, and traditional pharmaceutical companies will usher in new opportunities); 4) Traditional Chinese Medicine (the national policy supports the innovation of traditional Chinese medicine, and its performance is expected to maintain a good growth rate); 5) Medical devices (equipment updating, high-consumption innovation, low-consumption going to sea, etc.). Individual stocks can be concerned about: Baekje Shenzhou, Wuxi PharmaTech, China Resources Sanjiu and so on.The weighted share price index of Taiwan Stock Exchange opened 0.2% lower at 23,002.37.The financing balance of the two cities increased by 6.856 billion yuan. As of December 12, the financing balance of the Shanghai Stock Exchange was 961.758 billion yuan, an increase of 2.592 billion yuan over the previous trading day. The financing balance of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was reported at 916.865 billion yuan, an increase of 4.264 billion yuan over the previous trading day; The two cities totaled 1,878.623 billion yuan, an increase of 6.856 billion yuan over the previous trading day.

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